Each week during Survivor: Winners at War, RHAP blogger Matt Liguori will rank the players to determine who is playing the best and worst games, alongside Survivor: Edge of Extinction contestants Victoria Baamonde and Gavin Whitson.
Survivor: Winners at War Power Rankings – Episode 4
I can’t even tell you just how excited I am to get to a swap. The entire pre-season (many long months) were spent speculating how things could play out amongst all 20 winners based on prior connections. I like that we got to see these two tribes’ stories play out, but I’m more than ready to see things get switched up and have some new dynamics form. A lot of people seem to be feeling comfortable-ish so far and it’s time to shake that up.
It was very sad to see Tyson go this week, but it certainly wasn’t unexpected. He was on the bottom of this tribe along with Amber and Kim since day 1. The “Poker Alliance” may not be getting referenced anymore, but the connections Tyson had to Boston Rob was enough to keep him firmly on the outs of their tribe. I’m annoyed how high I got my hopes up for Tyson potentially sticking around, but it’s hard to blame the editors for giving me that hope.
Last week I had Tyson ranked the lowest at #17. Poor Gavin lost his idol and favorite former winner having ranked him at #11 – and Victoria had Tyson at #12.
Make sure you check me out on the RHAP BnB this week! I had a great time playing some games with Mike Bloom and Liana Boraas, talking all about what Mike definitely did on the regular in the third grade.
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Scrolling all the way down for a Quick View of all our rankings side-by-side.
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Nobody needs this swap more than Kim. She’s been pretty clearly on the bottom of her tribe since day 1 and despite seemingly being out of the line of fire at the last vote, she’s still barely hanging on. Kim has connections with players on Sele and she needs them now more than ever.
Adam sadly put himself in this spot. Doing the dishes and filling up waters unfortunately won’t erase everyone’s memories of him playing both sides. Nobody trusts Adam right now; in the words of Ben, he’s a weasel. Worse yet, Boston Rob is actively doing everything he can to secure Adam’s position at the bottom. Not a good place to be. He needs a whole new tribe and fast.
15. Boston Rob
The Robfather is going to have to continue stepping up in challenges and putting fate in his own hands if he wants to stay in the game. Hats off to Rob for managing to make it this far… I honestly thought he would be the first boot, so well done Rob. You deserved that statue.
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14. Boston Rob
I may just never be able to move Rob or Parvati anywhere near the top of my list while they remain in the game. It’s become clear that this season won’t feature big threats sticking together. While it’s impressive Rob has made it this far, his target won’t get any smaller and I imagine a swap being the perfect time for some eager winners to take him out and ensure they get themselves to the merge.
As of now, Parvati is sitting at the bottom with Rob. We didn’t see her do too much this week in terms of trying to dig herself out of this hole (unlike Rob). But she’s Parvati. She’s good at charming her way into new alliances. A swap should be nothing but helpful for her.
These last two don’t need much explaining. If the tribes decide to take out the big names, Parv and Rob are as good as done. Parv might need Ethan to send an advantage from Edge.
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We’re entering a swap where I don’t imagine a single remaining player outside of Rob would be willing to have Parvati’s back. Jeremy and Michele may have wanted to work with her, but they’re about to be reunited with more new-school winners they’re likely to cling to. Parvati is one of the least-threatening players left out here because she’s got nobody to work with, but her reputation precedes her.
13. Boston Rob
I am conflicted about listing Rob this low. He’s a strategic powerhouse, but I feel like with only Parv on his side and the numbers fully against him, he can’t rank much higher. He is wicked sma’t, already spreading lies to secure Adam’s need to go next. With this swap coming, I do think that Rob has a good chance of regaining a lot of his footing.
Kim has an idol, but Kim also told the wrong person she has an idol. Nick threw his vote at Kim last week, so I’m curious to see if that’ll stir up a little drama once the players get back to camp this week.
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Winning this immunity hopefully gave Adam time and space to assess his game and make some adjustments. Adam has plenty of people that were willing to work with him before he made the mistakes he did two weeks ago, so if he’s able to apologize and it all works out, a swap shouldn’t kill his game. Worst case scenario, he might be in a similar position to Kim where nobody’s fighting to keep him around.
Kim is still kind of a non-factor right now (sorry Kim). She does seem to be forming a bond with Sarah which could certainly help, and she’s locked in with Cops-R-Us. But Nick voted for Kim at tribal; while it might seem out of left field and it wasn’t discussed on-air, I can only assume that Nick was planning for Tyson to have an idol and he needed someone else to have their name written down other than his. In a tie, revote situation, I’m assuming Nick picked Kim’s name because she’d be easy to send home. Not a great feeling, being vote-out plan B.
If the big names are going to be targeted next, I at least hope we can see Tony and Rob go head-to-head before they get sent to the Edge.
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I’m always nervous for Tony, but especially as we enter a swap. Tony had something really good going for him on Dakal. Sandra and Sarah were in his corner as he endeared himself towards the one-time players. But how are the Sele tribe members going to react to this newer calmer Tony? Will they buy it?
We’ve heard very little from Denise. She’s towards the bottom of my rankings not because she’s in any danger, but because she seems to be on coattails right now. She didn’t do well in the challenge, she isn’t leading any strategy, she’s kind of just here right now. She’s far from anyone’s #1 target, but eventually she needs to start building a resume.
Sandra’s name still hasn’t truly came up as a target yet, but Tony called it; Tyson’s vote-off will be the straw that broke the camel’s back. I believe it’ll be the big names going back-to-back right before merge.
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Nick has done better so far than I expected him to. He probably has some connections to the one-time players on Sele, so he could be in a good spot at the swap, but if he’s swapped with a majority of old-schoolers or bigger threats, he’s someone they’ll have no problem cutting.
Nick almost had a very bad week. Luckily, his alliance came through, and Yul’s ability to be friends with everyone allowed for Tony, Sandra and Yul to tell Nick what was going on. He ended up receiving only one vote from Tyson himself, but it’s nerve-wracking to know how easily the vote could have gone his way had Tony and Sandra changed their minds.
Adam had a better episode this week. He needs to keep working hard around camp and not making anyone question his intentions for a little longer before he can go about getting his footing back.
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Preseason, I thought Ben’s game could’ve gone two ways out there: either he goes out early because he’s not connected, or he sticks around probably until the end because he’s not threatening and everyone thinks they can beat him in a final 3. Ben seems to be in this for the long haul.
Ben seems to have totally lost the target on his back. He’s pretty solid with Jeremy, Michele, and Denise. He doesn’t trust Adam and felt secure enough in his position to confront him. Though he isn’t calling the shots, Ben is looking solid.
Sarah continues to impress me but after the tribe swap, she may end up on a new tribe with people that only have their pregame opinions of her. Time will tell if Cops-R-Us will see the merge.
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It feels like we haven’t truly checked in with Sophie much after a strong start, so I’m not positive where her head is at besides how starstruck she is with her tribe (which… understandable). The connection to Kim is still there because of the idol, so maybe that’ll play out in the swap? It seems she’s got allies, but I’m feeling less confident in her position in the game until we see or hear more.
Armed with his fire tokens, advantage, and his alliance, Jeremy isn’t in any danger right now. He did, however, fall victim to Rob’s lies about Adam. Jeremy (along with the rest of his alliance, really) need to open their eyes and see that Adam isn’t their biggest threat right now, and make sure that they aren’t allowing Rob to dictate their next move.
My hope for Ben is that he ends up with Jeremy or Michelle and Wendell. I love watching Ben and I know a lot of people see him as a threat, so I want him to end up with people that want to work with him. It would be fun to see Ben and Tony on a tribe together. Clash of the wildcards.
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I’m really curious how big of a blow it’ll be for Sarah to lose Tyson. She’s done well in keeping her target as small as possible, but she’s also been on a tribe surrounded by Sandra, Kim, Tyson, and Tony. Having an advantage in her pocket is huge right now because she’s the type of player who could easily be picked off at a swap where players are looking to pick off a big target while keeping around the biggest targets.
Is Sophie playing too low-key of a game? Is she me? Will Jeff forget that she exists? Strategic women in glasses UNITE. Smart games don’t need to be flashy, TYSON. Sophie is still safely in the middle. A non-threatening persona with solid shields. I wonder why they made her mention how much she doesn’t want to go to Edge. I hope it isn’t foreshadowing.
David has slayed Goliath yet again. Good job Nick. Can’t wait to see what you do with your extra fire token!
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Sandra made the right move last week with all factors considered, but we’re getting closer and closer to the portion of the game she was sent packing in Game Changers. Somehow her name hasn’t legitimately come up, but sooner or later the opportunity will present itself. Sandra is still sitting on an idol, so she should be safe at least for this week but I expect a drop in the rankings after that’s expired.
Michele has been holding a bit of power on her tribe now for two weeks. She feels confident enough to confront Adam over his two-timing. She seems pretty solid with Jeremy, Ben and Denise. She’s become a puzzle beast?? She also has been able to bond with Rob, which admittedly, is probably more of a kudos to Rob than Michele. We’ll see what next week brings when she finds herself situated with Wendell. Awkward..
Sophie is in a great alliance. There’s no better time for a tribe swap to come screw things up. I’m still hoping there is more to the storyline of Sophie knowing about Kim’s idol.
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Jeremy remains one of the most perceptive players in Survivor. He’s beyond capable of reading the intentions of the players around him, this week pointing out Adam’s new work ethic at camp. Jeremy has the entire Sele tribe working with him and he’s got some potential connections on Dakal which could be a huge help.
We got to see a bit of Wendell this week (finally). We all know by now he is comfortable in his alliance. He wanted Tyson out because of how well connected he was on the other side and he accomplished that task. But thanks to this week’s previews, we know that Wendell finds himself on a tribe with Michele, so it looks like it’s about to turn into Ex on the Beach for Wendell. I don’t know yet if that’s good or bad.
Yul has hidden his threat level very well and has found himself in a great alliance. I believe out of the old-school players, Yul is in the best position with the new-schoolers.
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Michele’s proving how strong her social game is and reminding us why/how she won the first time around. Everyone on Sele feels great with Michele and now she’s heading into a swap where she’ll be reunited with Wendell and potentially other one-time players who may want to work with her. If we’re swapping into 3 tribes, Michele and Wendell just need one more and they’re all set.
Sarah is safely aligned in Cops-R-Us, but she’s also making solid relationships outside of that. She and Kim seem to be bonding very well, giving her a third number. She did just lose a budding friendship in Tyson, but she voted him out herself, so she’s smart enough to know when to cut ties.
Denise still has an idol and I don’t think she’s at the top of anyone’s hit list right now. I hope wherever Denise ends up, she gets a couple more nights off from tribal. After her first season, she deserves to enjoy a few tribal-less nights.
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Wendell’s game has been pretty under-the-radar so far and that’s exactly where he wants to be. He’s made friends with everyone on his tribe and he’s got tons of connections over on Sele. It’s hard to see how Wendell goes out anytime soon.
I can’t help but laugh every time I see Tony. He is just so MANIC. But hey, this season it’s working for him. Tony wanted Nick out in order to keep his big ol’ meat shield, which is a solid strategy! He realized that Tyson could be a number for him, but when the tides didn’t seem to be going in that direction, Tony was able to adapt and vote correctly. Tony knew when to speak up and when to take a back seat and was involved in a lot of strategy talk. Proud of Tony.
If Jeremy somehow ends up on Michelle and Wendell’s tribe, this will be the most dominant alliance in the game and I’m here for it. This episode should bring Wendell back into the spotlight and I have a feeling we’ll be seeing my top 3 working together for a long time this season.
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Denise had a pretty quiet week but this spot here is all hers based on my feelings about Denise as a player and how I’ve felt she’s played so far this season. Denise is right in the middle of that old-school vs. new-school battle and she could easily work with anybody in this game.
Yul is definitely playing camp Survivor right now. Everything is happy for the secret alliance of Yul. Tyson somehow sniffed out the fact that the unattached players are aligned, but Yul quickly became a part of protecting Nick and booting Tyson. A tribe swap can certainly shake things up for Yul depending on who he lands with, but I think he’s low-key enough to make friends wherever he goes.
Romeo and Juliet, Jim and Pam, Michelle and Wendell. Not sure their love is rekindled on the island, but I think these two are definitely going to have each other’s back. Rob and Amber 2.0 possibly??
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Yul had a very impressive first 11 days of this season. His group of four has seemed solid and it’s clear the Game Changers have trusted them, creating a majority of seven and ensuring the three outsiders never stood a chance. All of the big targets somehow making the swap is perfect for someone like Yul’s game.
This week Sandra got to be in the middle, which is a beautiful place to be. No one is looking at you to go home, but everyone is looking towards you for your vote. The Queen has such a great outward portrayal of “I don’t know what’s happening but just as long as it’s not me” while she’s actually well informed, incredibly calculated, and actively causing trouble. Everyone knows it, yet she’s still convincing. This week Sandra had to weigh her options: Tyson or Nick. Revenge or Money. I think she made the wrong move, getting rid of a big shield for herself and keeping a secret alliance in-tact. Regardless, she was in the power seat, putting her at #1.
I still think at this moment in time Jeremy is invincible. No matter what his new tribe looks like, he’s not going home this week.
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