Survivor

Survivor 2014: Poker Pro Jason Somerville on the Probability of Survivor

podcast:http://traffic.libsyn.com/robcesternino/20140922-survivor-somerville_mixdown.mp3

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Rob Cesternino is joined by Poker Superstar, Jason Somerville to share the findings of his summer-long Survivor research project. Jason is playing poker LIVE every day on his site RunItUp.com

In this podcast, Jason reveals the answers to the following Survivor questions that he researched:

Q1: Is the founder of an alliance more likely to get voted out than the other members?
Q2: How often does a player in the largest/dominant alliance get voted out?
Q3: What happens to a player who breaks an alliance or switches alliances?
Q4: How often does the winning player come from the tribe to have more players after the merge?
Q5: Who have been the winningest challenge players in Survivor?
Q6: What impact does winning the reward challenge have on winning immunity for tribes?
Q7: What impact does winning the reward challenge have on winning immunity for individuals?
Q8: Are players who sit out during challenges at increased risk of being voted out?
Q9: Is the tribe with more remaining players more likely to win a challenge?
Q10: Is there any correlation between a player winning individual challenges and that player winning a jury vote?
Q11: What is the historical winning percentage of tribes in challenges based on buff color?
Q12: How often do men win challenges compared to women?
Q13: What is the average survival rate of men and women?
Q14: How likely is it that men will find a hidden immunity idol instead of women?
Q15: If men are outnumbered by women or vice versa, how often does the gender with fewer people get voted out?
Q16: Is the number of confessionals a player receives within an episode a predictor of being voted out?
Q17: Is the number of confessionals a player receives throughout the season a predictor of winning the game?
Q18: Are previous votes against a player a predictor of that player being voted out?
Q19: Is there any correlation between how many votes a player receives and how many jury votes that player gets at the end?
Q20: Does a player’s age correlate strongly with how long that player survives in the game?
Q21: Is the player who wins the game more likely to come from the first tribe to get fire?

Download Jason’s PDF File compiled by David Williams

 

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